How Not to Interpret 'Chance of Winning'

By Jenna Marshall

Published November 4, 2016 at 2:25 PM MDT

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Election forecasts in the media, or on prediction sites, often express a candidate’s 'chance of winning' as a percentage. But what does that expression actually mean? KSFR's Jenna Marshall joined social scientist Mirta Galesic at the Santa Fe Institute to find out.